Friday, March 7, 2008

Momentum

Things are gonna change, I can feel it (what song is that from?):
  • Despite his loss in Texas, once the caucus votes are tabulated, Obama is going to gain more delegates out of that state than Hillary.
  • Dropping Powers from the campaign was a smart move, since it killed the story. But it's a shame that Obama lost her. She is a Pulitzer prize winning Harvard professor (and a WOMAN!), and would have been a huge asset to his campaign.
  • Hillary wants to get Obama into a knife fight. No one beats her at her level. He needs to find a way to keep his ideals and fend off her attacks at the same time.
  • After Obama wins Wyoming and Mississippi, things are going to shift again.
  • Hillary's talk about being in the lead is a mirage. She'll never catch up in delegate votes.
  • The superdelegates will not make Hillary the nominee. It would be a coup away from the voters that would split the party. Whatever happens, Obama will have to sign off.
  • The only way that Nilda will vote for Hillary is if she's on the ballot with Obama, as #2.
  • I have no idea what to do about Florida and Michigan.
  • The spellchecker needs to add "Obama" and "superdelegates" to its dictionary.

Please note that the opinions expressed herein are just mine and, therefore, should not be taken too seriously. Really, there's no need to have everyone getting all pissed off in their postings. Right, Corey? And what did happen to me that made me so pro-Obama? I'm still figuring out how I got so invested in a campaign.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

This is what happens when we get married, Brian. Put the ring on her finger, say i do, and all of the sudden you're living in Charlotte, NC driving a minivan. Or, in your case, donating money to Obama. And we're perfectly happy doing it.

Anyway - I assume you read David Brooks' column in the Times today? Pretty freaking dead on: if Obama gets into this knife fight with Hillary, he's just another politician. like a lot of people, the biggest (and maybe only) reason I like him is because he's convinced me so far that he's not just another politician - he's an outsider who represents real change. As brooks says, if that's not true, he's just a one-term senator from Illinois.

And notwithstanding what Geraldine Ferraro believes, I think the superdelegates aren't stupid enough to make Hillary the nominee if she's behind in delegates. It would rip the party apart. But Florida and Michigan will become a bigger clusterfuck than the superdelegates before too long.

As a Republican friend of mine likes to say, the Democratic party is very good at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory (see, eg., John Kerry).

Boywonderesq said...

I'm not surprised that David Brooks would agree with The Most Important Blog In The Country. Now if you'll excuse me, I have to do the laundry.